Broken Clocks and Liberty Bells

Plus, the end of the road for Castro-Trudeau and your final chance to register for our Investing in the End of the World Virtual Summit...

(This clock has seen better times. Substack image generator)

Joel Bowman with today’s Note From the End of the World: Buenos Aires, Argentina...

A pithy Note today, dear reader, as we’re busy organizing the final details for tomorrow’s inaugural Investing in the End of the World Virtual Summit.

Have you already registered? If not, this will be your last chance to do so...

We’ll be sending an email with a link to all registrants two hours before the event tomorrow. But remember, space is limited (we’re over the 2,300 registration mark now...) and priority will be given to Notes members.

Notes members will also receive a full audio-video recording of the event, plus a complete transcript to read at their convenience, even if they cannot attend on the day.

Not a member yet? Unlock these and many other member’s only benefits, here...

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American Liberty Bells

Meanwhile, we learned this week that our friends in the Great White North have at last been liberated from the tepid embrace of their outgoing governor, Justin Castro-Trudeau.

After nine insufferable years of rising costs, inflating loonies and speeches breeching with painfully pregnant pauses, Trudeau finally gathered the gumption on Monday to do what he does best... unconditionally praise himself while blaming others for his abject failures.

Gushed Trudeau in his teary goodbye cruel world address...

“As you all know, I’m a fighter. Every bone in my body has always told me to fight because I care deeply about Canadians, I care deeply about this country, and I will always be motivated by what is in the best interest of Canadians...

“Except,” he neglected to add, “when it comes to raising their taxes, killing their jobs, blowing their budgets out of the water and other things that don’t really effect me or my managerial class of Maserati Marxists.”

Like half a broken clock, Trudeau was at least right about one thing when he said, “We are at a critical moment in the world.”

Indeed, monsieur! From one end of the Americas to the other, the liberty bells are ringing...and they are ringing loudly!

So, where to from here?

Pierre Polymarket Poilievre

As mentioned in this space last week, the online betting markets have the conservative leader, Pierre Poilievre up big in their forecast. At last glance, the punters over at Polymarket gave Poilievre a non-trivial 89% chance at winning the top job.

And if you prefer long odds and slim chances, Mr. Trudeau’s got you covered, with a 1% chance of prime ministerial resurrection...

(Source: Polymarket.com)

Dear readers will recall Polymarket as one of the many online betting markets that trumped experts and “those in the know” during the 2024 US presidential election. We covered the story in a Note titled Musk X Milei. Here, a pertinent snippet:

Betting sites Polymarket and Kalshi consistently favored Trump for the win, sometimes by as much as 2-1, a veritable blowout in betting markets. Moreover, it was the “continuous flow” of decentralized information that kept the markets on track, able to respond in real time to infinitesimal fluctuations in relevant data and to price the outcome accordingly...

The fact that decentralized free markets are better able to synthesize pertinent information more accurately than pollsters, pundits and presstitutes should come as no surprise to readers of these humble Notes. Unlike the aforementioned propagandists (on both sides), free markets also screen for political bias by recognizing a simple, universal fact: If there’s one thing private individuals hate more than seeing their political opponents elected to public office, it’s losing money.

Of course, we cannot say for certain that Mr. Poilievre will be better than Mr. Trudeau, but it would take such a superhuman display of weakness to be worse, we’re happy to take those odds.

Stay tuned for more Notes From the End of the World...

Cheers,

Joel Bowman

P.S. If you registered for tomorrow’s Investing in the End of the World Virtual Summit, you’ll receive an email tomorrow from our Eventbrite account with all the details for the event.

As mentioned above, there is limited space on the meeting platform and Notes Members will be given priority. Members will also receive a full audio-video recording of the event, plus a complete transcript to view at their convenience, in the days following. It’s our way of saying “Thanks, mate!” for the support.

If you’re not already a Notes member, but would like to avail yourself of the very best work we do (including events like these… and plenty more to come throughout 2025), feel free to join out growing community, today…