Thankfully, there are no wars happening, which would destroy many men of fathering age from the lifeblood of the system.
Before the doomsday social safety net programs of government-sponsored old-age pensions, the family was responsible for raising the next generation, which would care for their elders in their later years. This social compact resulted in more children being born. The other factor that doomed children was when women started joining the workforce in large quantities. Well, maybe those aren't the ONLY factors. But they sure put a dent in family creation. And I'm not going to even talk about the abortion industry; I'll only mention it in passing.
While it is true that I am presenting a perspective from the United States, many of these causes have also occurred in other free nations.
I spent 25 years of my 45 years in the work force traveling the world. I've spent a lot of time in Japan and China where it's clear to see the lack of children. It is also true in Europe. The numbers you published are a cold slap in the face to future planners when thinking about where the tax revenue will come from down the road. I don't think AI robots will pay taxes to support ageing population.
An interesting side article by Bill Bonner in his daily letter concerning the drastic change in Paris from 1969 to today. Yep, the world is changing!
My wife and I brought forth three lovely children, each of whom added only one to the population. I have been preaching about the demographic slump for many years. Alas, career and motherhood don't go together well, and gone are the days when motherhood was considered a career in itself.
Great write up on a subject that has been ignored by many. Won’t matter to me is a common thought for the aging generation since we will be gone. Joel, time to do your part with “wifey” to increase the population 🤔. One is not enough. I’ve got 4. 😇
And the elephant in the room all around the world, that has to be talked about in hushed voices less one is deemed to be racist or ‘anti’, is the factual outcome we see from those whom follow a different birthing model, with laws from a particular book written in Arabic over a 23-year period from one man’s dramatic Dreamtime.
‘Muslims have the highest global fertility rate among major religious groups, averaging 2.9 to 3.1 children per woman (2010–2020 data), which is above the 2.1 replacement level. Driven by a young population and higher birth rates, the Muslim population is growing rapidly, with births projected to outnumber Christians by 2035.’ (Per Pew Research Centre)
No mention of birth control pills? Unrestrained sex without fear of the responsibility of raising a child I'm sure is a factor. It's a self centered outlook at life but has consequences. Lack of moral upbringing, no fault divorce and greed-two incomes to enhance the materialistic outlook of life I'm sure are contributors.
It's an old islamic insult... "May you outlive your children." If somebody offered you th $1 million for your children, whatever age you would give them the verbal middle finger and you should call a police. The younger generation has been convinced that children are paying that and too expensive. That is completely absurd. They loud completely on her dogs or cats. Lady , have a real baby and you will stomp that cat or dog to save your child! " We are dog parents." I will never hire you ever if I see that on your social media. It means that you're completely misguided.
Very well written, Joel! I might add to Kevin Beck's thoughtful response below that it is expensive to raise children in the modern world. I believe that this also has an effect on the decision on whether or not to have children. When compared to that new car or gleaming house, children, who will require time, work and money, may lose their luster. Lost in these financial considerations are the love, education and experiences that family life provide. Unfortunately, these cannot be known before they actually occur. The future love, sharing, satisfaction, pride and lack of loneliness that a family can bring do not stack up well against the immediacy of that new car or house. The children are losing out and this is a shame. If we are fortunate there will come a time when this reverses and the children and family will be cherished above all else that life can offer.
Very well said. You can not miss what You do not have, such as the love of children. Children are a blessing to have and rear up. Yep, that experience that most of the time cannot be put in words as one must experience it.
Excellent Joel. Really enjoyed your overview of this serious situation.
I think we'll know when Universities have returned to serious scholarship when they cancel the protesters rather than the speakers... truly insanity to refuse to be educated on reality.
Rapidly declining birthrates everywhere but sub-Saharan Africa; the U.S. economy's terrifying exposure to a Chinese takeover of Taiwan; devaluation of the dollar; the huge overhang of debt that is about to break loose and bury us; and a heaping tablespoon of Ai disruption...feels like the end of the world as this boomer has known it. So I'm left to pray about everything and worry about nothing...
Let's look on the bright side. The world in most places will be less crowded. The environment should improve and pollution should be reduced. Technology and AI may be able to make up for the the decrease in the labor pool. Governments will have less people to control, tax, regulate and brain wash. Good for the productive class. Bad for the parasitic class. The main driver of population growth are women who want to have children and men who will accommodate them.
When many woman don't have a desire to have children, or at least not gaggle, and unlike the past, now have the means to control pregnancies with the use of birth control and abortion. Under these circumstances birth rates will decrease.
The breakdown of the family in the 60's and 70's with leftist Soviet thinking of getting women to work, easy divorce, abortions, the religious decline etc was the start of the end.
Maybe the earth's population is "reverting to the mean"!
With the decline of Western and Eastern populations, Sub-Saharan Africa will become dominant, as it was at the start ha ha.
Already happening in some cities, welcome to the future!
yes its interesting how travel to another culture can awaken deeper issues than when or by how much Milei gets inflation under control .. funny eh everything is inflating except the birthrates around planet earth .. nothing coincidental about that ? enjoy seeing it for the scenery is about to reflect the human condition ..
A baffling phenomenon. Personally, there are too many people in the world. You could be having the lemming phenomenon. In Japan, people don’t even date or marry. There is a corrupted pharmaceutical and food industry; chemicals are rampant. Then you have the internet; what is its impact; the biggest business is porn. My grandson is looking for the perfect woman, whatever that is.
I am not alarmed by the decrease in population; there must be a reason for it… AI; it has happened before, half the population of Europe ceased to exist, in one year, because of the plague and they still fought wars and killed each other. WE ARE STILL HERE. Technologies have created dilemmas, created an obviously oppressive environment. There are just a basic insanity and irrationality. The system is collapsing.
Do it for Argentina, Joel, or Australia.
Maybe, people sense the future. Christ warned of the coming destruction of Jerusalem, “Woe to those with child.”
A Russian missile factory, in the Urals, was attacked by a missile designed by the British and manufactured in Finland. I wonder how the Russians will respond.
Joel: You raise an important dilemma that I’ve read about in several other publications. What I don’t see is creative ideas that will solve the problem. There are the obvious solutions: more cohabitating, more babies, less abortions, better health care to raise healthy children. None of these “solutions” address the underlying issues that will actually solve the problem. Let me count the ways: Too many women don’t want children, loss of career opportunities, difficulty in physically raising a child, physical and emotional wear and tear on the mother’s body, women’s lib theory versus mother’s love, cultural arguments against bring children into such a world and probably many more reasons that escape me for now. Add to the women’s issues against having children, there are the men’s arguments: loss of income by not having another parent earning money outside the home, having to accept responsibility for raising and paying for a child, lack-of-empathy-for-motherhood fear of the complexity of having a family with it’s resulting effort on the parent[s], and all the others that don’t come to mind. You notice I don’t mention homosexuality because I don’t believe this life style deters parents from having children. I, too, don’t have answers for these factors that are combining to create the downfall of the human race. However, the solutions will require the contribution of the government, the education system, the health care system, the religious community, the business community, the lack of a major conflict in the world, and the lack of a major medical disaster in the world. I am too old to see a solution to this dilemma, but my grandson will live long enough to see if it will ever succeed. I believe the solution will need to start soon because IMO the event horizon will occur before rationale people start trying to solve it.
the "problem" is exactly as you have stated to many words and not enough good action! in a decent and caring society all this imbalance would not occur but now that is has are their really any solutions? maybe our fear of viruses tells us a lot more than we want to know?
Thankfully, there are no wars happening, which would destroy many men of fathering age from the lifeblood of the system.
Before the doomsday social safety net programs of government-sponsored old-age pensions, the family was responsible for raising the next generation, which would care for their elders in their later years. This social compact resulted in more children being born. The other factor that doomed children was when women started joining the workforce in large quantities. Well, maybe those aren't the ONLY factors. But they sure put a dent in family creation. And I'm not going to even talk about the abortion industry; I'll only mention it in passing.
While it is true that I am presenting a perspective from the United States, many of these causes have also occurred in other free nations.
Kevin, very well written and insightful! Thanks for this thoughtful response!
I spent 25 years of my 45 years in the work force traveling the world. I've spent a lot of time in Japan and China where it's clear to see the lack of children. It is also true in Europe. The numbers you published are a cold slap in the face to future planners when thinking about where the tax revenue will come from down the road. I don't think AI robots will pay taxes to support ageing population.
An interesting side article by Bill Bonner in his daily letter concerning the drastic change in Paris from 1969 to today. Yep, the world is changing!
Jim Marshall
I just noted the same about Joel's post in Bonner's post today!
My wife and I brought forth three lovely children, each of whom added only one to the population. I have been preaching about the demographic slump for many years. Alas, career and motherhood don't go together well, and gone are the days when motherhood was considered a career in itself.
Great write up on a subject that has been ignored by many. Won’t matter to me is a common thought for the aging generation since we will be gone. Joel, time to do your part with “wifey” to increase the population 🤔. One is not enough. I’ve got 4. 😇
And the elephant in the room all around the world, that has to be talked about in hushed voices less one is deemed to be racist or ‘anti’, is the factual outcome we see from those whom follow a different birthing model, with laws from a particular book written in Arabic over a 23-year period from one man’s dramatic Dreamtime.
‘Muslims have the highest global fertility rate among major religious groups, averaging 2.9 to 3.1 children per woman (2010–2020 data), which is above the 2.1 replacement level. Driven by a young population and higher birth rates, the Muslim population is growing rapidly, with births projected to outnumber Christians by 2035.’ (Per Pew Research Centre)
No mention of birth control pills? Unrestrained sex without fear of the responsibility of raising a child I'm sure is a factor. It's a self centered outlook at life but has consequences. Lack of moral upbringing, no fault divorce and greed-two incomes to enhance the materialistic outlook of life I'm sure are contributors.
It's an old islamic insult... "May you outlive your children." If somebody offered you th $1 million for your children, whatever age you would give them the verbal middle finger and you should call a police. The younger generation has been convinced that children are paying that and too expensive. That is completely absurd. They loud completely on her dogs or cats. Lady , have a real baby and you will stomp that cat or dog to save your child! " We are dog parents." I will never hire you ever if I see that on your social media. It means that you're completely misguided.
Wake up
Very well written, Joel! I might add to Kevin Beck's thoughtful response below that it is expensive to raise children in the modern world. I believe that this also has an effect on the decision on whether or not to have children. When compared to that new car or gleaming house, children, who will require time, work and money, may lose their luster. Lost in these financial considerations are the love, education and experiences that family life provide. Unfortunately, these cannot be known before they actually occur. The future love, sharing, satisfaction, pride and lack of loneliness that a family can bring do not stack up well against the immediacy of that new car or house. The children are losing out and this is a shame. If we are fortunate there will come a time when this reverses and the children and family will be cherished above all else that life can offer.
Very well said. You can not miss what You do not have, such as the love of children. Children are a blessing to have and rear up. Yep, that experience that most of the time cannot be put in words as one must experience it.
Excellent Joel. Really enjoyed your overview of this serious situation.
I think we'll know when Universities have returned to serious scholarship when they cancel the protesters rather than the speakers... truly insanity to refuse to be educated on reality.
Rapidly declining birthrates everywhere but sub-Saharan Africa; the U.S. economy's terrifying exposure to a Chinese takeover of Taiwan; devaluation of the dollar; the huge overhang of debt that is about to break loose and bury us; and a heaping tablespoon of Ai disruption...feels like the end of the world as this boomer has known it. So I'm left to pray about everything and worry about nothing...
Let's look on the bright side. The world in most places will be less crowded. The environment should improve and pollution should be reduced. Technology and AI may be able to make up for the the decrease in the labor pool. Governments will have less people to control, tax, regulate and brain wash. Good for the productive class. Bad for the parasitic class. The main driver of population growth are women who want to have children and men who will accommodate them.
When many woman don't have a desire to have children, or at least not gaggle, and unlike the past, now have the means to control pregnancies with the use of birth control and abortion. Under these circumstances birth rates will decrease.
Its for the children or "was for the children".
The breakdown of the family in the 60's and 70's with leftist Soviet thinking of getting women to work, easy divorce, abortions, the religious decline etc was the start of the end.
Maybe the earth's population is "reverting to the mean"!
With the decline of Western and Eastern populations, Sub-Saharan Africa will become dominant, as it was at the start ha ha.
Already happening in some cities, welcome to the future!
yes its interesting how travel to another culture can awaken deeper issues than when or by how much Milei gets inflation under control .. funny eh everything is inflating except the birthrates around planet earth .. nothing coincidental about that ? enjoy seeing it for the scenery is about to reflect the human condition ..
A baffling phenomenon. Personally, there are too many people in the world. You could be having the lemming phenomenon. In Japan, people don’t even date or marry. There is a corrupted pharmaceutical and food industry; chemicals are rampant. Then you have the internet; what is its impact; the biggest business is porn. My grandson is looking for the perfect woman, whatever that is.
I am not alarmed by the decrease in population; there must be a reason for it… AI; it has happened before, half the population of Europe ceased to exist, in one year, because of the plague and they still fought wars and killed each other. WE ARE STILL HERE. Technologies have created dilemmas, created an obviously oppressive environment. There are just a basic insanity and irrationality. The system is collapsing.
Do it for Argentina, Joel, or Australia.
Maybe, people sense the future. Christ warned of the coming destruction of Jerusalem, “Woe to those with child.”
A Russian missile factory, in the Urals, was attacked by a missile designed by the British and manufactured in Finland. I wonder how the Russians will respond.
Joel: You raise an important dilemma that I’ve read about in several other publications. What I don’t see is creative ideas that will solve the problem. There are the obvious solutions: more cohabitating, more babies, less abortions, better health care to raise healthy children. None of these “solutions” address the underlying issues that will actually solve the problem. Let me count the ways: Too many women don’t want children, loss of career opportunities, difficulty in physically raising a child, physical and emotional wear and tear on the mother’s body, women’s lib theory versus mother’s love, cultural arguments against bring children into such a world and probably many more reasons that escape me for now. Add to the women’s issues against having children, there are the men’s arguments: loss of income by not having another parent earning money outside the home, having to accept responsibility for raising and paying for a child, lack-of-empathy-for-motherhood fear of the complexity of having a family with it’s resulting effort on the parent[s], and all the others that don’t come to mind. You notice I don’t mention homosexuality because I don’t believe this life style deters parents from having children. I, too, don’t have answers for these factors that are combining to create the downfall of the human race. However, the solutions will require the contribution of the government, the education system, the health care system, the religious community, the business community, the lack of a major conflict in the world, and the lack of a major medical disaster in the world. I am too old to see a solution to this dilemma, but my grandson will live long enough to see if it will ever succeed. I believe the solution will need to start soon because IMO the event horizon will occur before rationale people start trying to solve it.
the "problem" is exactly as you have stated to many words and not enough good action! in a decent and caring society all this imbalance would not occur but now that is has are their really any solutions? maybe our fear of viruses tells us a lot more than we want to know?